Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.187905 0.211489 0.236291 0.264261 0.294869 0.327287 0.364160
2025-04-27 0.161579 0.194290 0.230497 0.273348 0.322470 0.376811 0.441254
2025-05-04 0.138980 0.177158 0.221346 0.275843 0.340794 0.415260 0.506596
2025-05-11 0.123558 0.165938 0.216966 0.282193 0.362560 0.457510 0.577270
2025-05-18 0.111906 0.157611 0.214637 0.289891 0.385346 0.501086 0.650587
2025-05-25 0.098484 0.145349 0.205890 0.288260 0.395656 0.529075 0.705253
2025-06-01 0.087790 0.135414 0.198966 0.287902 0.406803 0.557777 0.761094
2025-06-08 0.078525 0.126383 0.192260 0.286930 0.416489 0.584338 0.814480
2025-06-15 0.072842 0.121800 0.191077 0.292985 0.435313 0.622937 0.884175
2025-06-22 0.066089 0.114922 0.185993 0.293027 0.445572 0.650143 0.939305
2025-06-29 0.060071 0.108538 0.181028 0.292691 0.454925 0.676041 0.993028
2025-07-06 0.054856 0.102884 0.176637 0.292722 0.464486 0.702174 1.047438
2025-07-13 0.050808 0.098876 0.174626 0.296378 0.479718 0.737137 1.115771
2025-07-20 0.048111 0.096857 0.175508 0.304339 0.501409 0.781704 1.198573
2025-07-27 0.044322 0.092578 0.172446 0.305941 0.513579 0.812946 1.263367
2025-08-03 0.041814 0.090312 0.172442 0.312217 0.532853 0.854791 1.344107
2025-08-10 0.039837 0.088809 0.173551 0.320216 0.554909 0.901146 1.432305
2025-08-17 0.036300 0.084025 0.168733 0.318250 0.561321 0.924498 1.487609
2025-08-24 0.033342 0.080043 0.164987 0.317752 0.569850 0.951030 1.547970
2025-08-31 0.030565 0.076126 0.161050 0.316639 0.577207 0.975813 1.606123
2025-09-07 0.029117 0.074775 0.161619 0.323164 0.596970 1.019802 1.693666
2025-09-14 0.026906 0.071586 0.158566 0.323191 0.606025 1.047464 1.757170
2025-09-21 0.024833 0.068469 0.155412 0.322816 0.614288 1.073965 1.819330